A Forecast of Wheat Production in the Punjab for 1973-74

B.A. Azhar, M. Ghaffar Chaudhry, M. Shafique

Abstract


In an earlier article [1, pp.407-15] the authors developed a
statistical model for forecasting wheat production. Among the equations
developed, it was found out that equation (2.2) for irrigated districts
and equation (3.2) for barani districts could be useful in forecasting
wheat production in the Punjab. While the forecasting procedure was
elaborated in detail, it was not possible to forecast wheat production
for 1973-74 because data on the explana┬Čtory variables underlying the
model were not then available. As these are now available, this paper is
an attempt to forecast wheat production for 1973-74. For comparison, the
paper also includes a forecast for 1972-73 based on the model. Before
discussing the forecast itself, however, a brief review of the
underlying equations and data used in the study would be
desirable.

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.30541/v13i1pp.106-112

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